Tories take the lead in new Eastleigh Poll.

For the first time since the by election was called tbg can tonight reveal that the Conservatives have taken the lead in an opinion poll for the seat.

With the Lib Dems mired in scandal after scandal the poll by Survation tonight put's Maria Hutchings' Conservatives on 33%, the Lib Dems on 29%, UKIP on 21% and Labour on 13%.

Bookies have also slashed the odds on a Tory victory tonight.

On bookie told tbg that its now "too close to call" and that a Tory win would be a "disaster for his firm".

30% of those planning to vote Conservative are doing so "because of the candidate".